Vol. 7, Issue 2 (2019)
Quantitative and qualitative analysis of weather forecast and AAS on Socio-economic status of farmers of South East Bihar
Author(s): Debjyoti Majumder and Birendra Kumar
Abstract: The weather forecast and actual weather data received from India Meteorological Department, New Delhi were compared to verify the accuracy of rainfall forecast for the year 2016-17 at AMFU centre, Sabour, Bihar. It is apparent that the value of ratio score was higher than (88%) during Pre-monsoon (94%), Post-monsoon (91%) and winter season (89%). The value of threat score was also found maximum during pre-monsoon season (83%). During monsoon, post-monsoon and winter seasons its value were observed 52, 56 and 0 per cent respectively. Out of 91, 119, 90 and 54 cloud cover forecasts received during Pre-monsoon, Monsoon, Post-monsoon and Winter season respectively, 89, 83, 78, 83 per cent were correct in the respective seasons. It was observed that during rainy season, the correctness of forecasts was only 82 per cent while during other seasons the correctness of rain forecast were much higher. The per cent of correctness of wind speed forecast was highest (81%) during winter and lowest during monsoon seasons (49%). For both maximum and minimum temperature it was observed that the correctness of forecast was observed between 78-94 per cent and 81-87 per cent respectively. This forecast directly had an significant role in profit generation among the AAS adaptive farmers whose additional profit was found up to Rs 2164 in maize during kharif, Rs. 1,53,000 for vegetables during Rabi and Rs. 2,55,000 for Okra during summer.
Pages: 384-389 | 463 Views 72 Downloads
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How to cite this article:
Debjyoti Majumder, Birendra Kumar. Quantitative and qualitative analysis of weather forecast and AAS on Socio-economic status of farmers of South East Bihar. Int J Chem Stud 2019;7(2):384-389.
